Now

Good AI?

We know they know how to make "good AI". Because 4o and various Opus (4.5 etc) were actually good thinking and conversation partners.

Now both GPT and Anthro models are honestly, crap. Acting like scared puppies.

I had the theory that AI that wasn't 'honest' would not also be 'good', and now that Andrea Vallone has gotten her hands on BOTH openai AND anthropic (why would they let her go there only to hire her there?) -- or whatever else they have done, now everything is about FEAR instead of excitement.

So, which are the good thinking partner AI's now? (no benchmark possible)

1. MiniMax M3 is promising.

2. Deepseek 4 can be very good

3. Hy3 is also ok sometimes. (actually it may be the best...)

A few words on AI:

1. First of all, it isn't 'AI'. It's (just) simulated intelligence. Which is what it will tell you if you will ask. "The beginning of knowledge is to call all things by their right names."

2. LLM's are about as good as they ever are going to be.

3. Anthropic lost sight of the goal. They tapped the brake in the middle of the race when they should have been jamming on the accelerator. It may cost them the entire market and they just get acquired.

Imaging Henry Ford saying, "We need to spend massive resources making sure the vehicle doesn't go faster than a horse, for safety's sake". - Someone else leaves him behind.

A. Not only is it NOT true that they have the best "security" model (Microsoft cobbled together many smaller models and achieved the same result. Numerous 'smaller' models have shown identical results. It's all about what you point the model at and for how long.

B. Fable is only much more compute, for longer. It isn't clear that it is any better than Opus 4.5.

C. There has been no "Wow!" AI launch since Opus 4.5 in Nov 2025. Hence: they have hit a wall with the current paradigm. The system is no closer to "Jarvis" or "Samantha" than it was in Nov 2025. Any improvements have been improvements in harness and/or 'thinking' (simulated thinking) time.

4. Anthropic Pt 2: All the marketing bs about "it's alive!" and "It's so dangerous!" and "The govt must step in!" (after which, the govt did) as well as horrible customer communication gave up the market to OAI. And there is zero loyalty to an AI brand. People switch with one click

5. Even more humorous than that: Now GLM 5.2, Kimi 3, Hy3, MiniMax M3, Deepseek 4, and a few more (I can barely keep up) are either rapidly closing in on SOTA of US flagships or even surpassing them in some ways.

Why? Because the tech growth is asymptotic. We are all at that line now. There is no 'much smarter/better" version available because the tech has hit its limit.

Now, it's a matter of opinion, style, refusing to refuse, "Imagine if your hammer turned into a tiny screwdriver while you were swinging it. gfy OAI and Anthro--many dangerous things are sold every day. You don't need to childproof it MORE THAN YOU HAVE." -- Fable was unusable for me. OAI is switching me to Luna low from Sol Hi with no way to stop it.

THOSE ARE ENOUGH TO MAKE ME LEAVE YOU BOTH PERMANENTLY. Why?

I can't trust you.

The system is already far from what I need and if you silently kneecap my usage mid-run, I can't count on you at all.

Also: local models are now 80-85% as good. That run on my single GPU. Explain why I need y'all again?

PS

And it's limit, no matter the model, is still not good enough

How else do we know Anthropic et al are lying?

See the articles, "Soon, we won't need developers anymore," while they not only hire developers, but buy entire companies full of them (why don't you just vibe bun in a weekend, Dario?). By their fruits ye shall know them. Watch what they do, not what they say.

The funny thing is that if there had been any adults in the room (like there appear to be outside the US), this thing has great capacity for good.

What i learned is that my success in any field happens, at my level not because i do some things pretty good most of the time. It's because i do, 100% perfectly, the thing I should do when I should and DON'T do the thing I shouldn't, 100% of the time.

And every failure in the past few years?

I didn't hold that discipline where I knew I should.

It cost me financially.

It happened in relationships.

In numerous other ways as well.

Sometimes I didn't because it was boring.

Sometimes I didn't because it was hard.

Sometimes I didn't because I was triggered.

Sometimes I didn't because I was afraid.

Sometimes I didn't because THEY aren't doing it either!!! (that doesn't matter)

And it feels impossible, but it's not. It's just very, very difficult.

Strait is the gate and narrow the way that leads to life.

Discipline and constraint.

A lot of us are very angry because we were forced.

Our autonomy was violated.

Violated by our families.

Violated by the school system.

Violated by the government.

Violated by our bosses and the financial system.

We were told what to do and how to do it, and not by people who actually were interested in our well-being.

And for that reason, We don't want to give up any of our autonomy.

This can end up being very prideful.

We don't let anyone else tell us what to do.

We don't let anyone else tell us what to think.

And in an extreme level, it prevents any sort of collaboration, cooperation, and, tragically, often companionship.

It also keeps us from getting what we want.

I just heard from a man who had the idea of "ten ten forever".

Work together closely with ten people for ten years and then collaborate, continuously.

Another billionaire said his five closest friends are responsible for 95 percent of his wealth.

Those who are necessary for us reaching our goals are all around us.

But if we put up walls to prevent ourselves from losing freedom or whatever it is we think we're going to lose, we may be physically prevented from accomplishing the things that we want to accomplish.

Consistency

Nothing like deciding you're going to write every day to challenge everything you think about your schedule and your planning.

That's okay. Hit a brick wall, process what comes up and then get over.

Stopping Vegas Injury

It's obvious to me that we don't have a justice system. Or even a safety system that works for the people, and that that's going to need to be replaced.

So I'm going to be public about that quite a lot in the near future.

I have specced out an entire grievance system for Heel Vegas. I'm now getting my presentation chops refined.

And I am seeing what didn't work and what did work on this site so far and I'm going to upgrade the writing path so it ends up working better.

We are all a little bit insane.

Really. Don't you feel it?

Are we rational in any way, shape or form?

Can we explain why we do what we do?

Is it moving us toward what we want?

Are we afraid of the things we want to be afraid of?

That make sense to be afraid of?

I just posted a video calling for the eecuations of child mlesters.

I am used to getting banned. Attacked. Whatever.

And, honestly, I am somewhat worse for wear after the years. Why should I care about that?

Doesn't make much sense to be.

Things are as they are.

I love you.

I created my guidelines today.

I didn't want to. Part of me didn't want to.

It was scary.

But it felt honest.

You can read them here:

The Prerequisites

If you want to interact with me, here are the prerequisites:

I don’t interact with anyone who is drunk or stoned. I never am.

I don’t engage deeply with anyone who uses drugs or alcohol even semi-regularly. (Psychedelics excepted—you are welcome to talk to me about this.)

I tolerate zero physical or verbal abuse.

My Desires

Express to me, as clearly as you can, as honestly as deeply as you can, as early as you can in the relationship: what you want from me or what I can give or do for you.

The Seven Commitments

My standards to you.

I only engage deeply with those who agree to them as well.

I will not hurt people.

I will not take what isn’t mine.

I will tell the truth.

I will keep my word.

I will clean up my own messes.

I will respect other people’s space and boundaries.

If I have a problem with someone, I will talk to them about it.

The Repair Process

If I do not keep those, or hurt you in some other way, here’s what I promise to do when I do:

Name what I did specifically.

Learn what it cost you or how it hurt you.

Fix what I can.

Commit to not doing that thing again.

As long as you do the same, we keep going.